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Leaderboard / @CryptoJelleNL / 2079583426416623937:bitcoin

Prediction evidence

incorrectPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 21 Jul 2026, 15:05 UTC · fetched 3 Nov 2026, 10:58 UTC

Cr

Jelle

@CryptoJelleNL

$BTC deviated below the previous range lows, and now pushes higher again. Pretty clean shakeout, right into our first buys. Let's roll. https://t.co/dqhZoBoSdk

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How this was scored

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $66,648 at 21 Jul 2026, 16:00 UTC.
Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $66,014 at 22 Jul 2026, 16:00 UTC.
r = 66013.78 / 66648.4 − 1 = -1.0%
Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = -1.0% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → incorrect

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

Same 24h episode

Repeated same-asset, same-direction calls count once, anchored to the first eligible post

“The weekly RSI is behaving just like it did around the previous cycle bottoms. Bottom should be close, or already in - if this signal plays out the same way once more. $BTC https://t.co/iN76aMyFe9”Repeat22 Jul 2026, 07:05 UTC

AI interpretation

Uses only text available at publication time

Asset: Bitcoin (BTC)
Direction: ▲ Bullish
Intent: inferred
Horizon: 24 hours (default, none stated)
Evidence span: “$BTC deviated below the previous range lows, and now pushes higher again.”
Confidence: 95%
Review state: auto accepted
Model / prompt: gpt-6-luna+decisions · decisions-v3

Outcome record

Status

incorrect

Baseline price

$66,648

Evaluation price

$66,014

Move

-1.0%

Neutral threshold

Unchanged price only

Price provider

coinbase

Evaluated at

11 Nov 2026, 00:14 UTC

Policy version

v1.0

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