Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $66,810 at 21 Jul 2026, 15:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $65,761 at 22 Jul 2026, 15:00 UTC.
3. r = 65760.99 / 66809.72 − 1 = -1.6%
4. Direction d = −1 (bearish), so d × r = +1.6% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → correct

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology