Prediction evidence

Ki

Killa

@KillaXBT

Nobody knows exactly where $BTC will bottom with precision. I’m just being completely honest here. While I consider myself very consistent with my swing trades and HTF bias, I still don’t try to nail the absolute tops and bottoms. I almost always scale in ahead of time. The reason is simple. I wait until the math, probabilities, and risk-reward are all stacked in my favor before scaling in. Last cycle, I started selling my spot holdings from 30K and exited between 108K and 120K. I didn’t sell everything at the exact $126K peak. I was 10-15% off the top. Yet the plan worked out flawlessly and delivered strong results. The same approach applies this cycle, my spot average is $65K, with a 2x leveraged long entered around 62.6K. I might be 10-15% early, or I might catch it right before the real bottom. Either way, I’ll still come out ahead because I focused on execution rather than perfection. Knowledge is power, but too much of it can sometimes lead to overthinking and paralysis by analysis. I have a solid sense of the time windows where tops and bottoms are likely to form, but I never wait for the exact moment to pull the trigger.