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Published 20 Jul 2026, 09:00 UTC · fetched 3 Nov 2026, 10:58 UTC
Merlijn The Trader
@MerlijnTrader
RIGHT NOW IS THE PART OF THE BITCOIN CYCLE THAT BREAKS MOST PEOPLE. NOT THE CRASH. THE WAIT. Price under the weekly 200 EMA. Nothing moves. Every bounce dies. Everyone slowly stops checking charts. 2020 felt exactly like this. Then +1,644%. 2022 felt exactly like this. Then +710%. The dip under this line doesn't punish panic. It punishes impatience. EMA today: $68K. The reclaim has started both runs. Invalidation: monthly close below $50K.View original on X ↗
Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result
unscored Repeat call within an existing 24h episode
Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology
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