Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first ETH price at or after publication, $1,866 at 19 Jul 2026, 18:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $1,906 at 20 Jul 2026, 18:00 UTC.
3. r = 1906.49 / 1865.89 − 1 = +2.2%
4. Direction d = −1 (bearish), so d × r = -2.2% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → incorrect

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology