Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first ETH price at or after publication, $1,873 at 19 Jul 2026, 09:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $1,859 at 20 Jul 2026, 09:00 UTC.
3. r = 1859.13 / 1872.53 − 1 = -0.72%
4. Direction d = −1 (bearish), so d × r = +0.72% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → correct

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology