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Prediction evidence

correctPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 17 Jul 2026, 13:41 UTC · fetched 3 Nov 2026, 13:48 UTC

Ted

@TedPillows

As expected, the stock market opened deep red. Crypto has to bounce, especially $ETH. Weak performance yet again. Every fucking time.

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

Baseline: first ETH price at or after publication, $1,823 at 17 Jul 2026, 14:00 UTC.
Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $1,840 at 18 Jul 2026, 14:00 UTC.
r = 1840.44 / 1823.42 − 1 = +0.9%
Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = +0.9% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → correct

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

Uses only text available at publication time