Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first $mubarak price at or after publication, $0.0135 at 17 Jul 2026, 10:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $0.01187 at 18 Jul 2026, 10:00 UTC.
3. r = 0.0118652387438657 / 0.0135043824185096 − 1 = -12.1%
4. Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = -12.1% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → incorrect

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology