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Published 16 Jul 2026, 16:48 UTC · fetched 3 Nov 2026, 10:57 UTC
Killa
@KillaXBT
Quoting · 15 Jul 2026, 12:49 UTC · context given to the AI
$BTC If we follow the same statistical pattern seen over the past 12 months, BTC would likely derisk for the remainder of the month and push back down. This is purely data driven with no directional bias. The only outlier is April’s behavior, where BTC continued higher after the 14th, something that has occurred just once in those 12 instances. Place your bets Fellas.$BTC The script continues to play out. Since the 14th, Bitcoin has already dropped about 2%. 11 out of 12 times, we’ve seen a 5% drop after the 14th. If the pattern continues, BTC should experience at least a 5% drop from wherever it forms its pivot high. Which would mean we can see 60-62K later this month.View original on X ↗
Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result
r = 63024.06 / 64430.68 − 1 = -2.2%d × r = +2.2% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → correctOnly the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology
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