Published 16 Jul 2026, 15:00 UTC · fetched 3 Nov 2026, 10:58 UTC
Merlijn The Trader
@MerlijnTrader
ETHEREUM NEVER RECLAIMS A LOST LOW IN A DOWNTREND. IT JUST PRINTED ITS FIRST ONE IN 9 MONTHS. Every breakdown since the top: fresh lows, aggressively, no looking back. Three times in a row. This time: $ETH lost $1,820 in June, reclaimed it in July, target above already hit. Downtrends don't do this. Bottoms do. Invalidation: a 3D close back below $1,820.View original on X ↗
Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result
r = 1829.44 / 1880.34 − 1 = -2.7%d × r = -2.7% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → incorrectOnly the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology
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