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Prediction evidence

incorrectPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 16 Jul 2026, 14:30 UTC · fetched 3 Nov 2026, 10:58 UTC

Jelle

@CryptoJelleNL

Range lows reclaimed. It wouldn't surprise me if we test $70k in the coming weeks. bitcoin:native https://t.co/Oqa0tBSzqw

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $64,493 at 16 Jul 2026, 15:00 UTC.
Evaluation: price at the end of the 30 days horizon, $62,966 at 15 Aug 2026, 15:00 UTC.
r = 62966.43 / 64493.21 − 1 = -2.4%
Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = -2.4% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → incorrect

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

Uses only text available at publication time