Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first ETH price at or after publication, $1,882 at 16 Jul 2026, 15:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $1,821 at 17 Jul 2026, 15:00 UTC.
3. r = 1820.53 / 1881.68 − 1 = -3.2%
4. Direction d = −1 (bearish), so d × r = +3.2% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → correct

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology