Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first ETH price at or after publication, $1,923 at 15 Jul 2026, 20:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $1,874 at 16 Jul 2026, 20:00 UTC.
3. r = 1874 / 1922.6 − 1 = -2.53%
4. Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = -2.53% against a neutral band of ±1.25% → incorrect

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology