Prediction evidence

correctPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 15 Jul 2026, 15:25 UTC · fetched 3 Nov 2026, 13:33 UTC

Cheds Trading

@BigCheds

Quoting · 15 Jul 2026, 15:24 UTC · context given to the AI

The last time $ETHBTC had a breakout like this was March 18th, and helped mark a $BTC minor top https://t.co/AX8Pl8NaBm

In reply to · 15 Jul 2026, 15:00 UTC · context given to the AI

Hard to be bearish when $ETHBTC is bullish https://t.co/9QyyBGAPEl

@TraderDaink hard to be bearish $ETH? but bad omen for $BTC https://t.co/JRSl8pelRl

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $65,370 at 15 Jul 2026, 16:00 UTC.
Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $64,661 at 16 Jul 2026, 16:00 UTC.
r = 64660.55 / 65369.99 − 1 = -1.1%
Direction d = −1 (bearish), so d × r = +1.1% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → correct

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

Uses only text available at publication time