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Leaderboard / @CryptoTony__ / 2077376886565642746:bitcoin

Prediction evidence

correctPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 15 Jul 2026, 12:57 UTC · fetched 20 Oct 2026, 05:26 UTC

Cr

Crypto Tony

@CryptoTony__

Too many people have called for the lows to be in so for me it is not in on Bitcoin WE ARE CLOSE, but not in yet for me. Next lows which may come in a couple weeks or months will be the one i am buying

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How this was scored

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $65,105 at 15 Jul 2026, 13:00 UTC.
Evaluation: price at the end of the 30 days horizon, $62,662 at 14 Aug 2026, 13:00 UTC.
r = 62661.84 / 65105.44 − 1 = -3.75%
Direction d = −1 (bearish), so d × r = +3.75% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → correct

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

AI interpretation

Uses only text available at publication time

Asset: Bitcoin (BTC)
Direction: ▼ Bearish
Intent: explicit
Horizon: 30 days (stated in post)
Evidence span: “Too many people have called for the lows to be in so for me it is not in on Bitcoin”
Confidence: 94%
Review state: auto accepted
Model / prompt: gpt-6-luna+decisions · decisions-v3

Outcome record

Status

correct

Baseline price

$65,105

Evaluation price

$62,662

Move

-3.75%

Neutral threshold

Unchanged price only

Price provider

coinbase

Evaluated at

22 Oct 2026, 03:17 UTC

Policy version

v1.0

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