Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first ETH price at or after publication, $1,859 at 14 Jul 2026, 13:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $1,926 at 15 Jul 2026, 13:00 UTC.
3. r = 1925.63 / 1859.49 − 1 = +3.6%
4. Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = +3.6% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → correct

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology