Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $62,546 at 14 Jul 2026, 07:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $64,768 at 15 Jul 2026, 07:00 UTC.
3. r = 64768.01 / 62546.34 − 1 = +3.6%
4. Direction d = −1 (bearish), so d × r = -3.6% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → incorrect

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology