Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first ETH price at or after publication, $1,771 at 13 Jul 2026, 13:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $1,859 at 14 Jul 2026, 13:00 UTC.
3. r = 1859.49 / 1770.57 − 1 = +5.0%
4. Direction d = −1 (bearish), so d × r = -5.0% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → incorrect

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology