Loading…

Prediction evidence

correctPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 13 Jul 2026, 08:33 UTC · fetched 3 Nov 2026, 13:48 UTC

Ted

@TedPillows

$BTC got rejected from the $64,500-$65,000 resistance zone again. I warned you that the spot is selling, and I hope you listened. Now, Bitcoin needs to hold above the $62,500 zone, or else it could drop below $61,000. https://t.co/r9deP10OEZ

View original on X ↗

How this was scored

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $63,143 at 13 Jul 2026, 09:00 UTC.
Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $62,631 at 14 Jul 2026, 09:00 UTC.
r = 62631.32 / 63142.5 − 1 = -0.8%
Direction d = −1 (bearish), so d × r = +0.8% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → correct

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

AI interpretation

Uses only text available at publication time

Asset: Bitcoin (BTC)
Direction: ▼ Bearish
Intent: explicit
Horizon: 24 hours (default, none stated)
Evidence span: “$BTC got rejected from the $64,500-$65,000 resistance zone again.”
Confidence: 98%
Review state: auto accepted
Model / prompt: gpt-6-luna+decisions · decisions-v3

Outcome record

Status

Prediction evidence

Source post

How this was scored

AI interpretation

Outcome record

Request a correction