Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first ETH price at or after publication, $1,776 at 13 Jul 2026, 07:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $1,781 at 14 Jul 2026, 07:00 UTC.
3. r = 1780.91 / 1776.4 − 1 = +0.3%
4. Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = +0.3% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → correct

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology