Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first ETH price at or after publication, $1,811 at 12 Jul 2026, 22:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $1,760 at 13 Jul 2026, 22:00 UTC.
3. r = 1759.99 / 1811.45 − 1 = -2.84%
4. Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = -2.84% against a neutral band of ±1.25% → incorrect

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology