Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $63,884 at 12 Jul 2026, 22:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $61,998 at 13 Jul 2026, 22:00 UTC.
3. r = 61997.9 / 63883.78 − 1 = -2.95%
4. Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = -2.95% against a neutral band of ±1.00% → incorrect

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology