Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $64,194 at 12 Jul 2026, 20:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $62,213 at 13 Jul 2026, 20:00 UTC.
3. r = 62212.52 / 64193.87 − 1 = -3.1%
4. Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = -3.1% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → incorrect

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology