Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $63,967 at 12 Jul 2026, 12:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $62,843 at 13 Jul 2026, 12:00 UTC.
3. r = 62842.97 / 63966.53 − 1 = -1.8%
4. Direction d = −1 (bearish), so d × r = +1.8% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → correct

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology