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Published 11 Jul 2026, 19:00 UTC · fetched 3 Nov 2026, 10:58 UTC
₿IRB
@crypto_birb
We're at 64k. Statistically, not much upside left. Let me explain. We're now where bitcoin was at 46k in 2022 before falling to 15.5k or at 13.9k in 2018 before dropping 3.2k. Both times, the bear wasn't done. July is positive. In midterm years average +10.52%. We opened at 58.5k so math lands us at 63.4-64.6k. But Q3 is set to destroy the bulls. Midterm Aug-Sept is -16.68% avg. Verdict is small bump then down. The cycle isn't done reminding you what it is. Thoughts?View original on X ↗
Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result
unscored Awaiting manual review
Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology
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