Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $64,141 at 11 Jul 2026, 13:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $63,982 at 12 Jul 2026, 13:00 UTC.
3. r = 63982.16 / 64141.47 − 1 = -0.2%
4. Direction d = −1 (bearish), so d × r = +0.2% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → correct

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology