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Prediction evidence

unscoredPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 11 Jul 2026, 11:00 UTC · fetched 3 Nov 2026, 10:58 UTC

Merlijn The Trader

@MerlijnTrader

The last 3 times Bitcoin's YoY went red, millionaires were born. 2015. 2019. 2022. It just turned red for the 4th time. Everyone reads red YoY as danger. What they're missing: this is not the top of the cycle. This is the accumulation window before it. If you are not DCA'ing here, what exactly are you waiting for?

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How this was scored

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

unscored Repeat call within an existing 24h episode

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

Same 24h episode

Repeated same-asset, same-direction calls count once, anchored to the first eligible post

“The last time this chart printed, Bitcoin tripled. 2022: Descending channel. Capitulation low. Breakout. Run. 2026: Same channel, same fakeouts, same panic one dip left before the breakout. That dip is where my bids at $55K and $50K sit. The chart already told me where to buy. My job is just to have the orders in. You don't predict a fractal. You wait for it.”Repeat10 Jul 2026, 15:30 UTC
“Four steps separate Bitcoin from new all-time highs. Step 1: bull trap into $67K. Rejection. Step 2: bear trap the ultimate liquidity sweep into $45K–$52K. Step 3: reclaim of the orange zone. Trend flips. Step 4: expansion toward new highs. My bids: $55K and $50K. Placed for step 2. Every trap has a job. Every sweep has a target. This one ends where the run begins.”Repeat11 Jul 2026, 09:00 UTC

AI interpretation

Uses only text available at publication time

Asset: Bitcoin (BTC)
Direction: ▲ Bullish
Intent: explicit
Horizon: 24 hours (default, none stated)
Evidence span: “The last 3 times Bitcoin's YoY went red, millionaires were born.”
Confidence: 100%
Review state: auto accepted
Model / prompt: gpt-6-luna+decisions · decisions-v3

Outcome record