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Leaderboard / @CryptoTony__ / 2075616933496443268:bitcoin

Prediction evidence

correctPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 10 Jul 2026, 16:23 UTC · fetched 20 Oct 2026, 05:26 UTC

Cr

Crypto Tony

@CryptoTony__

We are coming off the swing high on Bitcoin so a pullback is expected The bears are finding it harder to dump us. Higher to come.

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How this was scored

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $64,086 at 10 Jul 2026, 17:00 UTC.
Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $64,133 at 11 Jul 2026, 17:00 UTC.
r = 64132.72 / 64085.8 − 1 = +0.07%
Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = +0.07% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → correct

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

AI interpretation

Uses only text available at publication time

Asset: Bitcoin (BTC)
Direction: ▲ Bullish
Intent: explicit
Horizon: 24 hours (default, none stated)
Evidence span: “We are coming off the swing high on Bitcoin so a pullback is expected”
Confidence: 100%
Review state: auto accepted
Model / prompt: gpt-6-luna+decisions · decisions-v3

Outcome record

Status

correct

Baseline price

$64,086

Evaluation price

$64,133

Move

+0.07%

Neutral threshold

Unchanged price only

Price provider

coinbase

Evaluated at

22 Oct 2026, 03:17 UTC

Policy version

v1.0

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