Prediction evidence

incorrectPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 10 Jul 2026, 14:11 UTC · fetched 3 Nov 2026, 13:33 UTC

Cheds Trading

@BigCheds

Quoting · 30 Apr 2026, 02:43 UTC · context given to the AI

$JST grinding higher https://t.co/5UdutWtksH https://t.co/CA3RH2ZveC

$JST bullish continuation https://t.co/fy8ye3AYnP https://t.co/dwU4sJjBpl

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

Baseline: first $JST price at or after publication, $0.0926 at 10 Jul 2026, 14:11 UTC.
Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $0.08366 at 11 Jul 2026, 14:11 UTC.
r = 0.0836637078603821 / 0.0926019702282892 − 1 = -9.7%
Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = -9.7% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → incorrect

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

Uses only text available at publication time

Asset: Memecoins: $JST ($JST)
Direction: ▲ Bullish
Intent: explicit
Horizon: 24 hours (default, none stated)
Evidence span: “$JST bullish continuation https://t.co/fy8ye3AYnP https://t.co/dwU4sJjBpl”
Confidence: 94%
Review state: auto accepted
Model / prompt: gpt-6-luna+decisions · decisions-v3