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Prediction evidence

correctPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 10 Jul 2026, 08:18 UTC · fetched 3 Nov 2026, 13:48 UTC

Ted

@TedPillows

$ETH is holding above the $1,750 level, which is a good sign. Spot demand is picking up a bit, which could push Ethereum towards the $1,850-$1,900 zone in the coming weeks. https://t.co/A2eBbJbXVj

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How this was scored

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

Baseline: first ETH price at or after publication, $1,783 at 10 Jul 2026, 09:00 UTC.
Evaluation: price at the end of the 7 days horizon, $1,828 at 17 Jul 2026, 09:00 UTC.
r = 1828.2 / 1782.72 − 1 = +2.6%
Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = +2.6% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → correct

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

AI interpretation

Uses only text available at publication time

Asset: Ethereum (ETH)
Direction: ▲ Bullish
Intent: explicit
Horizon: 7 days (stated in post)
Evidence span: “$ETH is holding above the $1,750 level, which is a good sign.”
Confidence: 99%
Review state: auto accepted
Model / prompt: gpt-6-luna+decisions · decisions-v3

Outcome record

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Prediction evidence

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