Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $62,719 at 9 Jul 2026, 12:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $64,378 at 10 Jul 2026, 12:00 UTC.
3. r = 64378.18 / 62718.97 − 1 = +2.6%
4. Direction d = −1 (bearish), so d × r = -2.6% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → incorrect

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology