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Prediction evidence

correctPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 9 Jul 2026, 09:27 UTC · fetched 3 Nov 2026, 13:48 UTC

Ted

@TedPillows

$ETH is still holding above the $1,750 level. As long as Ethereum stays above it, there's a decent chance of a relief rally. https://t.co/TSnDwwx2aS

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

Baseline: first ETH price at or after publication, $1,754 at 9 Jul 2026, 10:00 UTC.
Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $1,791 at 10 Jul 2026, 10:00 UTC.
r = 1791.42 / 1754.48 − 1 = +2.1%
Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = +2.1% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → correct

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

Uses only text available at publication time