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Published 8 Jul 2026, 14:23 UTC · fetched 3 Nov 2026, 13:48 UTC
Ted
@TedPillows
Quoting · 7 Jul 2026, 20:16 UTC · context given to the AI
BREAKING: A Kalshi trader opened a long position on Bitcoin last week with 6x leverage This trader will double their money if $BTC hits $71,732 Liquidation price: $51,236 https://t.co/DtPovNUN4a$BTC had a relief rally in July 2018 and July 2022. If this repeats, Bitcoin could hit $70,000-$72,000 in 3-4 weeks. But that doesn't mean a new bull market. Bitcoin will make a new low again. https://t.co/O08vVqrsFv https://t.co/N3oDThqimOView original on X ↗
Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result
r = 64906.86 / 61830.69 − 1 = +5.0%d × r = -5.0% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → incorrectOnly the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology
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