Published 8 Jul 2026, 09:00 UTC · fetched 3 Nov 2026, 10:58 UTC
Merlijn The Trader
@MerlijnTrader
Everyone bearish on Bitcoin right now: pull up 2022. 2022 and 2026. Side by side. Same descending channel. Same fakeouts inside it. Same panic at the lows. In 2022, the channel bottomed then Bitcoin nearly tripled. 2026 is tracing it candle for candle. One more touch of the channel low. Then the turn. You don't need to predict. You just need to compare.View original on X ↗
Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result
r = 62897.45 / 62001.82 − 1 = +1.4%d × r = +1.4% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → correctOnly the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology
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