Prediction evidence

correctPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 8 Jul 2026, 07:50 UTC · fetched 20 Oct 2026, 05:26 UTC

Crypto Tony

@CryptoTony__

In reply to · 8 Jul 2026, 07:48 UTC · context given to the AI

PumpFun sold $10,000,000 in $SOL today. So far, PumpFun has sold $794,000,000 worth of Solana. Max Extraction. https://t.co/sBPJy8ErsP

@TedPillows All the better for my short 👊🏻👊🏻 https://t.co/2kxbIKcC0X

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

Baseline: first SOL price at or after publication, $78.24 at 8 Jul 2026, 08:00 UTC.
Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $78.14 at 9 Jul 2026, 08:00 UTC.
r = 78.14 / 78.24 − 1 = -0.13%
Direction d = −1 (bearish), so d × r = +0.13% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → correct

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

Uses only text available at publication time

Asset: Solana (SOL)
Direction: ▼ Bearish
Intent: inferred
Horizon: 24 hours (default, none stated)
Evidence span: “@TedPillows All the better for my short 👊🏻👊🏻 https://t.co/2kxbIKcC0X”
Confidence: 78%
Review state: auto accepted
Model / prompt: gpt-6-luna+decisions · decisions-v3