Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first SOL price at or after publication, $79.01 at 8 Jul 2026, 03:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 4 hours horizon, $78.16 at 8 Jul 2026, 07:00 UTC.
3. r = 78.16 / 79.01 − 1 = -1.1%
4. Direction d = −1 (bearish), so d × r = +1.1% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → correct

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology