Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first ETH price at or after publication, $1,789 at 7 Jul 2026, 20:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $1,740 at 8 Jul 2026, 20:00 UTC.
3. r = 1739.87 / 1789.32 − 1 = -2.8%
4. Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = -2.8% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → incorrect

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology