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Leaderboard / @AltcoinSherpa / 2074161625733763439:bitcoin

Prediction evidence

correctPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 6 Jul 2026, 16:00 UTC · fetched 20 Oct 2026, 05:25 UTC

Al

Altcoin Sherpa

@AltcoinSherpa

honestly a pretty decent bounce for $BTC, hope we can see continuation https://t.co/9EjhN9OveY

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How this was scored

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $63,691 at 6 Jul 2026, 17:00 UTC.
Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $63,937 at 7 Jul 2026, 17:00 UTC.
r = 63936.87 / 63691.23 − 1 = +0.39%
Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = +0.39% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → correct

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

AI interpretation

Uses only text available at publication time

Asset: Bitcoin (BTC)
Direction: ▲ Bullish
Intent: inferred
Horizon: 24 hours (default, none stated)
Evidence span: “honestly a pretty decent bounce for $BTC, hope we can see continuation https://t.co/9EjhN9OveY”
Confidence: 99%
Review state: auto accepted
Model / prompt: gpt-6-luna+decisions · decisions-v3

Outcome record

Status

correct

Baseline price

$63,691

Evaluation price

$63,937

Move

+0.39%

Neutral threshold

Unchanged price only

Price provider

coinbase

Evaluated at

21 Oct 2026, 20:13 UTC

Policy version

v1.0

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