Prediction evidence

correctPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 6 Jul 2026, 12:11 UTC · fetched 3 Nov 2026, 10:58 UTC

Kevin Svenson

@KevinSvenson_

In reply to · 6 Jul 2026, 12:03 UTC · context given to the AI

BREAKING: Michael Saylor's 'Strategy' sold 3,588 Bitcoin worth $225 million. https://t.co/I0I5Ah0eGX

@WatcherGuru Time to buy $ETH

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

Baseline: first ETH price at or after publication, $1,739 at 6 Jul 2026, 13:00 UTC.
Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $1,780 at 7 Jul 2026, 13:00 UTC.
r = 1780.18 / 1739.2 − 1 = +2.4%
Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = +2.4% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → correct

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

Uses only text available at publication time