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Prediction evidence

correctPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 5 Jul 2026, 16:00 UTC · fetched 3 Nov 2026, 10:58 UTC

Merlijn The Trader

@MerlijnTrader

Yes, the Ethereum setup is bullish. No, this is not the entry. The daily stochastic just hit 97 deep overbought. Every bounce from this level got sold. Four times this year. The setup is forming. The timing isn't here. Bullish on the chart. Patient on the trigger. https://t.co/QQLVIEdQfT

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How this was scored

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

Baseline: first ETH price at or after publication, $1,771 at 5 Jul 2026, 17:00 UTC.
Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $1,792 at 6 Jul 2026, 17:00 UTC.
r = 1791.7 / 1771.41 − 1 = +1.1%
Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = +1.1% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → correct

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

AI interpretation

Uses only text available at publication time

Asset: Ethereum (ETH)
Direction: ▲ Bullish
Intent: explicit
Horizon: 24 hours (default, none stated)
Evidence span: “Yes, the Ethereum setup is bullish.”
Confidence: 87%
Review state: auto accepted
Model / prompt: gpt-6-luna+decisions · decisions-v3

Outcome record

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