Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first ETH price at or after publication, $1,790 at 4 Jul 2026, 16:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $1,773 at 5 Jul 2026, 16:00 UTC.
3. r = 1773.09 / 1789.68 − 1 = -0.9%
4. Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = -0.9% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → incorrect

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology