Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first $MANIFEST price at or after publication, $0.01915 at 3 Jul 2026, 14:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 7 days horizon, $0.01199 at 10 Jul 2026, 14:00 UTC.
3. r = 0.01199207540249718 / 0.01914959033547447 − 1 = -37.4%
4. Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = -37.4% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → incorrect

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology