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Published 3 Jul 2026, 09:16 UTC · fetched 3 Nov 2026, 13:48 UTC
Ted
@TedPillows
Quoting · 2 Jul 2026, 16:39 UTC · context given to the AI
BREAKING: A Kalshi trader opened a long position on Bitcoin with 6x leverage This trader will double their money if $BTC hits $70,706 Liquidation price: $50,504 https://t.co/O1dSeS0O62Last 3 times $BTC had a red May and June, it averaged 19% return in July. If this repeats, Bitcoin could tap the $70,000-$71,000 zone this month. https://t.co/s93DOWWWaR https://t.co/noejm6evgLView original on X ↗
Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result
r = 63205.21 / 61640.05 − 1 = +2.5%d × r = +2.5% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → correctOnly the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology
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