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Prediction evidence

correctPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 3 Jul 2026, 04:19 UTC · fetched 6 Nov 2026, 14:17 UTC

swarmik

@swarmister

$BTC LTF broke out of the price zone from below yesterday (fucking awesome) It’s currently holding above 61k. After the upward impulse, it’s trading within a narrowing range. It would make sense to see a test of the upper boundary. There’s a decent imbalance there on the 15M https://t.co/i5oo6bCIn7

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How this was scored

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $61,366 at 3 Jul 2026, 05:00 UTC.
Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $62,628 at 4 Jul 2026, 05:00 UTC.
r = 62628.43 / 61366.03 − 1 = +2.1%
Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = +2.1% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → correct

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

AI interpretation

Uses only text available at publication time

Asset: Bitcoin (BTC)
Direction: ▲ Bullish
Intent: inferred
Horizon: 24 hours (default, none stated)
Evidence span: “$BTC LTF”
Confidence: 97%
Review state: auto accepted
Model / prompt: gpt-6-luna+decisions · decisions-v3

Outcome record

Status: correct

Prediction evidence

Source post

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AI interpretation

Outcome record

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