Loading…

Prediction evidence

incorrectPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 2 Jul 2026, 23:41 UTC · fetched 3 Nov 2026, 10:55 UTC

Bluntz

@Bluntz_Capital

after a sizeable 44% dip $cards now starting to breakout of the most recent dip gearing up for the next up leg https://t.co/KyxwFnxPgV

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

Baseline: first $CARDS price at or after publication, $0.2416 at 3 Jul 2026, 00:00 UTC.
Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $0.2154 at 4 Jul 2026, 00:00 UTC.
r = 0.21537738208087334 / 0.24159188396108777 − 1 = -10.9%
Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = -10.9% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → incorrect

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

Uses only text available at publication time

Asset: Memecoins: $CARDS ($CARDS)
Direction: ▲ Bullish
Intent: explicit
Horizon: 24 hours (default, none stated)
Evidence span: “after a sizeable 44% dip $cards now starting to breakout of the most recent dip gearing up for the next up leg https://t.co/KyxwFnxPgV”
Confidence: 100%
Review state: auto accepted
Model / prompt: gpt-6-luna+decisions · decisions-v3