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Published 2 Jul 2026, 12:46 UTC · fetched 14 Oct 2026, 10:57 UTC
Michaël van de Poppe
@CryptoMichNL
In reply to · 1 Jul 2026, 15:24 UTC · context given to the AI
THIS BITCOIN BEAR MARKET IS BREAKING ALL THE OLD RULES. Average historical drawdown: 84%. This one: 52%. And that gap is not a coincidence. Less euphoria on the way up means less destruction on the way down. The violent 80% crashes of 2018 and 2022 were the price of parabolic greed. This cycle never reached that level of greed. So the market never needed that level of punishment. The envelope is collapsing inward. Bitcoin is maturing in real time. Credits: @OnChainMind@CryptoTice_ The reason that it's completely different than previous bear markets is that the upside volatility has been significantly less. In that case: downside volatility will be significantly less too.View original on X ↗
Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result
unscored Repeat call within an existing 24h episode
Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology
Repeated same-asset, same-direction calls count once, anchored to the first eligible post
Uses only text available at publication time
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