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Published 2 Jul 2026, 12:45 UTC · fetched 3 Nov 2026, 10:59 UTC
That Martini Guy ₿
@MartiniGuyYT
Quoting · 2 Jul 2026, 12:30 UTC · context given to the AI
JUST IN: 🇺🇸US Non-Farm Payrolls: Actual: 57K Forecast: 114K Previous: 172KThis is a big miss. The US economy added 57,000 jobs versus 114,000 expected. For me, this is another sign the labour market is slowing down. If that continues, I think it's becoming less likely the Fed raises interest rates again. I also think there's a good chance oil continues moving lower. Both would be positive for risk assets like Bitcoin.View original on X ↗
Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result
r = 61905.98 / 61470.48 − 1 = +0.7%d × r = +0.7% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → correctOnly the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology
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