Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first ETH price at or after publication, $1,648 at 2 Jul 2026, 12:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $1,741 at 3 Jul 2026, 12:00 UTC.
3. r = 1740.51 / 1648.35 − 1 = +5.6%
4. Direction d = −1 (bearish), so d × r = -5.6% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → incorrect

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology