Prediction evidence

correctPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 2 Jul 2026, 09:51 UTC · fetched 3 Nov 2026, 10:55 UTC

Ignas

@DefiIgnas

In reply to · 2 Jul 2026, 09:51 UTC · context given to the AI

@DefiIgnas Don’t worry, Saylor going to take care of things on this side of the barbed wire fence.

@jedifractal Saylor FUD will run out of steam when BTC starts pumping again

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $61,093 at 2 Jul 2026, 10:00 UTC.
Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $61,640 at 3 Jul 2026, 10:00 UTC.
r = 61640.05 / 61092.9 − 1 = +0.9%
Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = +0.9% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → correct

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

Uses only text available at publication time

Asset: Bitcoin (BTC)
Direction: ▲ Bullish
Intent: explicit
Horizon: 24 hours (default, none stated)
Evidence span: “@jedifractal Saylor FUD will run out of steam when BTC starts pumping again”
Confidence: 95%
Review state: auto accepted
Model / prompt: gpt-6-luna+decisions · decisions-v3