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Mainnet trading opens after on-chain activation and launch checks. Testnet uses test USDC on Base Sepolia; test tokens have no monetary value. Real-money rounds will carry their own terms and risks. Arena is not available to US persons. Questions: legal@rafa.ai

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Leaderboard / @Bluntz_Capital / 2072544985573187756:memecoin:$CARDS

Prediction evidence

correctPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 2 Jul 2026, 04:56 UTC · fetched 3 Nov 2026, 10:55 UTC

Bl

Bluntz

@Bluntz_Capital

clear 5 up and abc down on $cards hourly, low is in imo https://t.co/xCdSSTEAwU

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How this was scored

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

Baseline: first $CARDS price at or after publication, $0.2224 at 2 Jul 2026, 05:00 UTC.
Evaluation: price at the end of the 1 hour horizon, $0.2276 at 2 Jul 2026, 06:00 UTC.
r = 0.22755582438402053 / 0.2223695604242681 − 1 = +2.3%
Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = +2.3% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → correct

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

AI interpretation

Uses only text available at publication time

Asset: Memecoins: $CARDS ($CARDS)
Direction: ▲ Bullish
Intent: explicit
Horizon: 1 hour (stated in post)
Evidence span: “clear 5 up and abc down on $cards hourly, low is in imo https://t.co/xCdSSTEAwU”
Confidence: 93%
Review state: auto accepted
Model / prompt: gpt-6-luna+decisions · decisions-v3

Outcome record

Status

correct

Baseline price

$0.2224

Evaluation price

$0.2276

Move

+2.3%

Neutral threshold

Unchanged price only

Price provider

geckoterminal

Evaluated at

10 Nov 2026, 20:13 UTC

Policy version

v1.0

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